GOP Now Leads in Seven Senate Races for Dem Seats


Republican Senate candidates now lead their rivals in seven contests, including three involving Democratic incumbents. Republicans need to win six seats to gain control of the Senate.

In an eight seat, the Republican is tied with a Democratic incumbent. And, in a ninth contest, the GOP candidate trails the Democratic incumbent by only two points.

Dick Morris 3

In the following seven races — all in seats now held by Democrats — the Republican has a lead:

Republicans Lead in Seven:

(asterisk * means Republican faces significant primary)

Michigan

–Land (R) 40

–Peters (D) 38

(Open seat; Carl Levin retired; amazing run for a Republican in deeply blue state) North Carolina

–Tillis (R) 46*

–Hagan (D) 45

(Tillis leads in tough primary; Hagan well under 50percent of the vote)

Alaska

–Treadwell (R) 47*

–Begish (D) 43

(Treadwell faces tough primary but Begish is way behind and further under 50percent)

Montana

–Daines (R) 51

–Walsh (D) 37

(open seat; its over)

Louisiana

–Cassidy (R) 46

–Landrieu (D) 42

(Landrieu way under 50)

South Dakota

–Rounds(R) 51

–Weiland (D) 31

(open seat; its over)

West Virginia

–Capito (R) 49

–Tennant (D) 35

(open seat; its over)

Republican Tied in One:

Arkansas

–Cotton (R) 46

–Pryor (D) 46

(Pryor is under 50)

Republican Close in Three:

Iowa

–Jacobs (R) 38*

–Braley (D) 41

(Open seat; Jacobs still faces tough primary; but possible pickup)

Colorado

–Gardiner (R) 40

–Udall (D) 42

(Udall way under 50 percent)

Minnesota

–Ortman (R) 41*

–Franken (D) 44

(Franken way under 50 percent)

One Possible Dem Takeaway

–McConnell (R) 43

–Grimes (D) 42

(McConnell way under 50 percent)

So, with 11 Democratic seats leaning Republican and only one Republican seat leaning Democrat, the makings of a huge Republican sweep seem to be taking shape.

It is also worth following Oregon where Democrat Jeff Merkley has only 46 percent of the vote against his nearest rival Conger. And in New Hampshire, Jeanine Sheehan is managing only 50 percent of the vote against former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown’s 38.

The only other possible Democratic takeaway is in Georgia, but Republican frontrunner (in a tough primary) Purdue leads the Democrat Nunn by 38-33.

So, at the moment, a reversal of the 55-45 Democratic majority, making it a 55-45 Republican majority, seems possible.

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