PPP And Rasmussen Have Radically Different Poll Numbers. So, Who’s Right?


Since partnering up with the Daily Kos, my impression is that PPP has gone the Zogby route and has started to let their ideology interfere with their poll numbers. Does that mean I generally don’t trust their numbers? Honestly — yeah, that’s exactly what it means.

Of course, a lot of liberals would say the same thing about Rasmussen, which tends to poll to the right of other pollsters. Of course, they tend to have results to the right of other pollsters because they use likely voters, which I find to be the only meaningful group of voters to look at on political issues.

In any case, here are the results of both polls, which could not be much farther apart.

First, here’s PPP release from yesterday with a poll of registered voters.

As a consequence, if an election were held today, Americans would vote for the Democrat in their district by a 46-41 margin. The two parties are polarized, but independents split the tie, siding 42-33 with the Democrats after voting heavily for the GOP last year.

Now here’s Rasmussen’s data from Monday, which is based on a poll of Likely voters.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters nationwide say they would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 38% would choose the Democrat instead.

That’s an 11 point spread. Who’s closer to the truth? If I had to bet, I’d say Rasmussen. Now, which one will get the most publicity? If I had to bet, I’d say PPP.

Time will tell on both counts.

Also see,

Related Articles

22

Who Is the Best VP Pick for Mitt Romney? Vote Here!

Who Are the Best VP Picks for Mitt Romney?

18

VIDEO: Black Panther Agitation Erupts at Houston Polling Places

**NOTE** The video below is of eyewitness accounts. There is no video of the incidents inside the polling places because

4

The 6th Annual Poll of Bloggers On The Most Admired People On The Right

Right Wing News emailed more than 204 right-of-center bloggers and asked them to rate 75 prominent people on the Right.