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Posts By Author » Dennis Avery

Science Recommends Climate Model Re-Start
  8 Jul 2014     12:01 am

An article in the June 13, 2014 issue of Science admits the computer climate models are not effective at forecasting either future or past temperatures.. The Science piece says the current models are “bloated with data,” but still cannot represent such huge variables as clouds and shifts in ocean currents. Statisticians are recommending a re-start.

At the same time, new studies are revealing that the sun has an even bigger role in climate than the current climate models understand.
One of the new papers finds that the amount of time the sun …

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A World Turning Against Biofuels
  1 Jun 2014     12:02 am

The United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has suddenly reversed its support for biofuels. The panel now admits growing crops for fuel “poses risks to ecosystems and biodiversity.”

Scientists—and many Green activists—turned against ethanol and biodiesel years ago because it took too much land. However, the United States and EU governments have kept their farmer subsidies. “Environmentalism” had suddenly become political payoff.
The key science for the turnaround was supplied in 2008 by Princeton’s Tim Searchinger in Science (“Use of U.S. Croplands for Biofuels Increased Greenhouse Gases Through Land Use Change,” Science313:1238–1240). …

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FDA: No Low-Dose Chemical Dangers
  21 May 2014     12:03 am

The Food and Drug Administration has just loudly re-endorsed perhaps the oldest truth in science—that the dose makes the poison. Paracelsus, the father of toxicology, told us 500 years ago, “All substances are poison. There is none which is not a poison. The right dose makes the difference between a poison and a remedy.”
Even sunlight and water are poisons at high doses.

The FDA has just commented on a new study which found no health impact from low doses of bisphenol-A. BPA is a plasticizer often found at low doses in …

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Obama and U.S. Economic Suicide
  13 Nov 2013     12:02 am

Churchville, VA—President Obama is demanding, by Executive Order, what congress will not give him by vote. With winter approaching and the “Obamacare” mess hanging over his shoulder, he is now ordering the U.S. economy to hitch itself to more and more of the costly and erratic “renewable” energy sources. These have already bankrupted Spain and are about to bankruptGreat Britain and Germany. 

Spain, Britain, and Germany are already years further down the road to the “renewable” blackouts President Obama now demands for America. Spain is already broke, and Britain is heading for mass energy poverty for its people. German industries meanwhile threaten to flee their country …

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No Way to Run a Country
  18 Oct 2013     12:02 am

Churchville, VA—We can’t predict how the government shutdown will be resolved in the short term, let alone the more permanent long run effect. Things are so bad that The Economist magazine has a sketch of George Washington’s Mt. Rushmore head, scowling at the brawling political parties. The Economist claims to offer “Global intelligence for excellent thinkers.” It says the Republicans should retreat so the liberals can deal with the unfortunate “polarization” of American politics.

Has The Economist’s advice worked in the past? It ardently recommended exactly the “soft socialism” that piled …

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Does Global Warming Science Matter?
  13 Oct 2013     12:02 am

The European Union’s top climate official says the EU is pursuing the right renewable energy policies—even if the scientists are wrong about the cause of global warming! Why?

Connie Hedegaard, the EU Climate Minister, recently told the London Telegraph, “Say that 30 years from now, science came back and says, ‘Wow, we were mistaken then, now we have some new information so we think it is something else.’ In a world with nine billion people, even 10 billion at the middle of this century, where literally billions of global citizens will …

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Arctic Grabs Gullible Sailors
  19 Sep 2013     12:01 am

The naïve advice of ardent activists can kill. Last spring, Paul Beckwith of Sierra Club Canada predicted that the Arctic seas would be ice-free ice this summer. (So did Britain’s BBC network) This exciting adventure opportunity attracted a variety of yachts, sailboats, rowboats, and kayaks owners to try sailing the fabled Northwest Passage.

As a former sailboat owner I can understand their excitement, but my heart aches for the agonies they now face. The Arctic sea ice suddenly expanded 60 percent this fall, after the coldest summer in the modern Alaska temperature record. The passage is now …

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A Global Force For Good
  17 Sep 2013     12:02 am

 
Churchville, VA—The U.S. Navy says it is a global force for good. President Obama doesn’t seem so sure. However, the freedom of the seas that encourage trade and prosperity has only happened when some strong military force has protected safety on the high seas. That always has meant fighting off the bandits, pirates, and trade-blocking forces that would have made trade too expensive to supply people’s needs.

 
Trade requires freedom of the seas because ships are always the cost-effective way to move heavy stuff. In fact, the U.S. Navy’s first real …

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Global Warming: It’s Happening Again
  29 Jul 2013     12:02 am

Senator Boxer recently held a hearing entitled, “Climate Change: It’s Happening Now.” To honor historic truth, the title “It’s Happening Again” would have suited better.

Heidi Cullen, formerly the alarmist voice at the Weather Channel, was one of Boxer’s key witnesses. In her testimony, Dr. Cullen said that “heavy downpours” have increased by 73 percent over recent decades due to global warming. The U.S. Geological Survey data show no such increase over the past 60 years, though there may have been some increase in rainfall variability. She once was too good …

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Ten Billion and Catastrophe
  24 Jul 2013     12:03 am

The polls say we no longer fear man-made global warming very much. However, now that the scaremongers can’t make us afraid of GW they’re recycling their most reliable scare—overpopulation. Two new books, Ten Billion, by Stephen Emmot and Population: Ten Billion, by Dan Dorley, claim too many people will bring on disaster. They claim humanity will be doomed by the combination of overpopulation, climate change and species loss.

This is a repeat of the wrong-headed “overpopulation” scares of the past. Looking back, there was Paul Ehrlich’s The Population Bomb, 1968; Thomas …

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A Climate Debate: Both Sides Showed Up
  16 Jun 2013     12:01 am

Churchville, VA— I just took part in a remarkable event: a public debate over manmade global warming in which both sides appeared—and the Associated Press reported on it! I have been invited to many of these events over the past six years, but the warmists always canceled when they found a skeptic was part of the deal.

John Christy, from the University of Alabama/Huntsville, opened the debate. He graphed the climate models’ projections of huge warming—made just before the non-warming of the past 16 years. As usual, he gave a great presentation.
Mark …

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Prince Charles: Too “Green” to be King?
  23 May 2013     12:01 am

CHURCHVILLE, VA—Prince Charles recently made his most outspoken criticism yet of the world’s failure to reduce CO2 emissions. Meanwhile, British families have seen no global warming trend in 16 years, while their electric bills have doubled to support expensive and unreliable wind turbines.

Is Prince Charles now too “green” to be king of Britain? Until recently most Britons seemed almost as eager to get rid of fossil fuels as Charles. Now, however, electricity blackouts threaten, and “fuel poverty” looms for perhaps half of the nation’s families. Britain’s industries, meanwhile, are threatening …

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A Climate Cycle Delivered Our Cold Spring
  11 May 2013     12:03 am

Churchville, VA: Lots of us are commenting on the U.S. having the second coldest spring in the official thermometer record (starting ca. 1860) and the coldest since 1975. Remember, too, that in 1975 major news magazines were predicting a sudden return to the next Ice Age! This cold spring highlights another climate cycle that has nothing to do with CO2.

The cycle that link the two coldest springs is the 60-year Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Both of these cold springs occurred during a cold phase in the Pacific, which is the planet’s …

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Billionaire “Forcing” Climate Change
  22 Apr 2013     12:02 am

Churchville, VA—A Wall Street billionaire is pledging to spend “whatever it takes” to make manmade global warming the “defining issue of our generation.” Most recently, he sent airplanes with banners over Boston that read “Steve Lynch for Oil Evil Empire.”  Lynch, a fellow Democrat and Senate candidate, favors the Keystone pipeline and the jobs it would create. 

“The goal here is not to win,” says Tom Steyer, who assembled his $1.4 billion fortune as a hedge fund manager. “The goal here is to destroy these people, We want a smashing victory.” Smash any politicians who …

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Is Warming The ” Civilization Killer”
  3 Apr 2013     12:03 am

CHURCHVILLE, VA—Author Eugene Linden writes books on the far edge of the environmental movement. He recently wrote, a bit hysterically, in The Daily Beast: “we need leaders with the courage to steamroll the deniers and the vested interests . . . Climate change is a civilization killer, and if we go on down the climate rapids…” I am not sure what “steamrolling entails; but I do know, that the warmer periods are the civilization savers.
Clearly, Linden knows exactly nothing about the forces that have killed off every culture prior to …

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Britain Narrowly Escapes ‘Green’ Blackout
  2 Mar 2013     12:02 am

For years, many of us have warned the “green energy” craze would throw First World countries into blackouts, factory knockouts, more deaths among the elderly and all manner of avoidable tragedies. It nearly happened to Britain in January, as bitterly cold weather put a massive strain on Britain’s creaking power plants.
London’s Sunday Express says 1 million homes narrowly escaped blackout last month as the island suffered its fifth harsh winter in a row. Blackout was only avoided because of an oil-fired power station, which is, itself, due to be closed …

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Greens Now Betray the Wild Fish
  5 Jan 2013     12:01 am

Churchville VA—The Food and Drug Administration just approved genetically modified salmon, which grow larger and faster than wild salmon. That’s excellent. There are only so many wild fish in the seas, and biotech salmon could help save wild salmon fisheries from crashing. 
The world’s fishermen can’t catch more than the 90 million tons for per year they’ve been getting recently. Doctors meanwhile tell 7 billion people to eat more healthful fish. All over the world, the big increase in fish consumption since 1980 has come from fish farming. Today, 90 percent of …

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New Study Ethanol Costs U.S. One Million Jobs
  14 Nov 2012     12:02 am

CHURCHVILLE, VA—If President Obama still cares about more U.S. jobs and high food costs he can now immediately gain on both.. An economist in Indianapolis just calculated that the U.S. is losing a million jobs this year—along with $30 billion in economic growth—because we shifted too much of our corn into ethanol. Tom Elam says direct employment in the food industry would have produced three times as many jobs processing and marketing meat as making ethanol from the same corn. Elamcalculates the foregone jobs at 941,000. That doesn’t even count the myriad of jobs that would have been …

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CAN ROMNEY CREATE THOSE 12 MILLION JOBS? BY DENNIS T. AVERY
  3 Nov 2012     12:01 am

Churchville, VA—Mitt Romney says he could create 12 million jobs in a four year term. Could he really do it?  The odds are he could. 
Romney would start, of course, with energy, where gasoline prices have doubled under Obama. High energy costs have scuttled lots of small businesses; people could no longer afford their goods or services. High gas prices also drove some employees out of the job market as they could no longer afford commuting to a job with modest pay. 
Obama campaigned on raising energy costs even higher; to protect us …

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Tropical Rainbelts Still Shifting Global Crops
  31 Oct 2012     11:30 pm

CHURCHVILLE, VA—Michel Nasibu, of business consultants KPMG/East Africa, warns that global warming has begun to devastate his continent. He writes in AfricaEagle that: “The mother of all troubles has already started rooting her tentacles all over the continent: Global Warming. . . . . Africa is slowly becoming a desert.”
James Taylor of the Heartland Institute, writing at Forbes.com, says “Not so fast.” Taylor notes a 2009 Boston University study that found satellite data showing a long- term shift in the Sahara Desert from dryer to wetter conditions. BBC News, in …

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